Brazil's Market & Economic Decisions
Market-wide moves on Brazil's exchange (B3) that come from inside Brazil rather than from a single company: a Copom decision on the Selic rate by the Central Bank of Brazil, a budget or fiscal-rule surprise, or an election shock. On those days most Brazilian shares move together whatever the business does, and the real often moves at the same time.
Dated events
- · Recording implicates President Temer; Ibovespa circuit breaker, index closes 8.8% lower
A secret recording of the president set off a political crisis overnight. Trading stopped after the opening fall and the main index ended the day 8.8% down. - · First-round election result; Ibovespa jumps above 87,000 points
Jair Bolsonaro's strong first-round lead raised hopes for privatisation and spending cuts. The main index opened about 6% higher. - · Government signals a breach of the spending cap; Ibovespa falls 2.75%
The government said it would fund a larger cash-transfer programme outside the federal spending cap. The main index fell 2.75% and the dollar rose almost 2% against the real. - · Lula wins the presidential runoff; Petrobras shares fall up to 8% in a volatile session
The first session after the closest election in the country's history swung both ways. State-controlled companies fell on fears of government interference while the real strengthened. - · Spending-cut package with an income tax exemption disappoints; the real hits a record low
Investors judged the government's fiscal package too weak, partly because it also exempted lower wages from income tax. The main index fell to its lowest level since August.
Assets named in this scenario · 10
Ambev S.A.Banco Bradesco S.A.Banco BTG Pactual S.A.Banco Santander (Brasil) S.A.Itaúsa S.A.Itaú Unibanco Holding S.A.Nu Holdings Ltd.Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - PetrobrasVale S.A.WEG S.A.
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