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Election Uncertainty

Major election run-ups and contested results: policy-sensitive sectors whipsaw, volatility rises into the vote and typically deflates after clarity.

Asset classes: Stocks, Crypto, Commodities, Funds

Dated events

  1. · US presidential election: Bush-Gore result disputed over Florida's count
    The election between George W. Bush and Al Gore was so close that Florida's results couldn't be determined for weeks. Stock prices moved up and down sharply as investors waited to find out who would be president and what their policies would be.
  2. · US presidential election: Donald Trump defeats Hillary Clinton
    Donald Trump won the presidency in an upset that most polls and experts had not predicted. Stock and currency prices swung wildly overnight as traders scrambled to figure out what his policies would mean for different industries.
  3. · UK general election: Boris Johnson's Conservatives win an 80-seat majority
    British voters held an election that would determine the country's approach to leaving the European Union. Stock prices jumped sharply when early results showed a clear winner, ending weeks of uncertainty about Britain's economic direction.
  4. · US presidential election; counting of mail-in ballots delays the result
    The 2020 election used record numbers of mail-in ballots, and final results took days to count. Markets experienced large price swings as the outcome remained unclear, and different sectors rose or fell depending on which candidate seemed to be winning.

Assets named in this scenario · 6

Bitcoin (BTC)Energy Select Sector SPDR FundGold · Gold FuturesiShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETFiShares Russell 2000 ETFSPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust

Recently triggered by news

Matched keywords: presidential election, election results, election uncertainty, policy uncertainty, contested election, election rally, seçim belirsizliği, seçim sonuçları

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