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Inflation Surprises
Price data lands clearly away from what was expected, most often above it: people worry about what their money will buy, markets rethink how long interest rates stay high, and bonds, growth shares and gold can all move at once.
Dated events
- · Arab oil producers (OAPEC) announce output cuts and embargo over Yom Kippur War
Arab nations cut off oil supplies to Western countries, causing energy prices to skyrocket. Combined with already-rising prices for everyday goods, this created a period where both inflation and unemployment rose together, hurting people's ability to afford basic necessities. - · Shah leaves Iran as revolutionary strikes keep Iranian oil exports halted
Political upheaval in Iran caused oil production to stop suddenly. Oil prices more than doubled over the following year, and prices for almost everything else climbed sharply as transportation costs increased. People faced long lines at gas stations and worried about affording heating and food. - · Fed raises its discount rate to a record 14% to fight inflation
The U.S. central bank dramatically increased borrowing costs to fight inflation that had reached over 13 percent. While this eventually slowed price increases, it made loans much more expensive for people buying homes or cars, and many businesses struggled with higher costs. - · US annual inflation hits 6.2% in October 2021, the highest since 1990
After months of rising prices for groceries, gas, and rent, official inflation data showed the biggest yearly price jump since 1990. This surprised many people and policymakers, raising concerns about whether prices would keep climbing and what the government should do about it. - · US annual inflation hits 9.1% in June 2022, the highest since November 1981
Prices for food, energy, and housing surged to levels not seen since the early 1980s, driven by supply chain problems, pandemic aftereffects, and government spending. Families found groceries and gas much more expensive, and the Federal Reserve signaled it would raise interest rates sharply to try to bring prices down.
Assets named in this scenario · 12
Ahold DelhaizeBitcoin (BTC)DanoneEuro (EUR)Gold · Gold FuturesInditexiShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETFNestléSPDR S&P 500 ETF TrustTescoUnileverVanguard Real Estate ETF
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